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07/28/2010 - Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Mark Teixeira and Brett Gardner each had two hits and two runs batted in, as the New York Yankees roughed up Fausto Carmona in an 8-0 victory over the Cleveland Indians.
Robinson Cano doubled and slugged his 19th home run of the season for the Yankees, who have won two of three so far in this four-game series. Alex Rodriguez finished 2-for-5 with an RBI, but remained stuck on 599 career homers. It has been six games since he hit No. 599 versus Kansas City last Thursday.
The Yankees totaled 13 hits -- six for extra bases -- and all the offense made a winner of A.J. Burnett (9-8), who allowed seven hits, walked three and struck out seven in 6 1/3 shutout innings to win for the second consecutive start. He threw five scoreless innings Friday against the Royals.
Carmona (10-8) lasted just 2 2/3 innings in his shortest start of the season. He gave up seven runs on 10 hits and a walk, and threw 73 pitches.
Trevor Crowe had three hits for the Indians, who lost for the fifth time in their last seven games.
The Yankees got on the board in the first inning, when Teixeira hit a two-out double and Rodriguez followed with a base hit. But Carmona's troubles emerged in the next two innings, as the Yankees nearly batted around each time.
In the second, Curtis Granderson, Francisco Cervelli, and Gardner hit consecutive one-out singles to make it a 2-0 game. After Gardner stole second, Carmona fanned Derek Jeter, but walked Nick Swisher. Teixeira made Carmona pay by ripping a two-run single to right field.
Cano began the third with a double, and scored two batters later as Granderson tripled. Carmona rapidly fell apart, hitting Cervelli on the left elbow before Gardner doubled to right. Cervelli was thrown out at home on Jeter's ground ball to first, but Swisher lined a single to left to get Gardner across the plate for a 7-0 lead.
That hit ended Carmona's night. Hector Ambriz came in and walked Teixeira to load the bases, but struck out Rodriguez to end the inning.
Ambriz allowed one run -- a leadoff homer by Cano in the fourth -- over his 2 1/3 innings. The Indians' bullpen did not allow a run the rest of the way, but Cleveland was too far behind, and its offense didn't take advantage of opportunities. The Indians went 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position and left nine on base.
Game Notes
The game began after a 42-minute rain delay...The Yankees' Jorge Posada returned to the lineup after missing Tuesday's game with left knee soreness. He went 1-for-5...Carmona's ERA jumped from 3.51 to 3.92. He also fell to 1-4 with a 6.53 ERA in 10 career games (seven starts) against New York...The Indians have been shut out nine times this season
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
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